Political Risk:

High

Score:

37/100

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1 50/100

Is there formal provision for effective and independent legislative scrutiny of defence policy?

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Formal rights Score: 50 / 100
The National Assembly (NASS) of the Federal Republic of Nigeria is made up of the Senate and House of Representative (HoR), and both have…
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Effectiveness Score: 50 / 100
As part of their oversight responsibilities and their role in shaping national defence policies and operations, the NASS debates and reviews defence policy and…
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Independent legislature scrutiny Score: 50 / 100
Section 89 of the 1999 Constitution, provides that the National Assembly can summon any person in Nigeria to give evidence before it over any…
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2 33/100

Does the country have an identifiable and effective parliamentary defence and security committee (or similar such organisations) to exercise oversight?

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Formal rights Score: 100 / 100
The National Assembly of Nigeria is empowered to scrutinize various aspects of the performance of the Ministry of Defence and its agencies’ activities and…
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Expertise Score: 25 / 100
Although the NASS has formal oversight rights over the defence sector, its capacity to perform its oversight functions is considerably limited by the lack…
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Responsive policymaking Score: 0 / 100
The formulation of Nigeria’s Defence Policy is a core responsibility of the MOD [1]. The Ministry of Defence, in July 2023, noted that defence…
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Short-term oversight Score: 25 / 100
In Nigeria, the government’s fiscal year is the same as the calendar year. It runs from 1 January to 31 December [1]. The government…
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Long-term oversight Score: 0 / 100
In the realm of lawmaking, legislative committees play a fundamental role in maintaining official oversight and governance of the defence sector in Nigeria [1].…
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Institutional outcomes Score: 50 / 100
Ministries sometimes incorporate recommendations into practice, but not regularly. For instance, the National Defence Policy 2017, which had input from the NASS provides for…
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3 8/100

Is the country’s national defence policy or national security strategy debated and publicly available?

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Scope of involvement Score: 0 / 100
Nigeria’s defence policy was first formulated in 2006 and revised ten years after in 2017 [1]. However, the MOD inaugurated a committee to review…
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Scope of debate Score: NA / 100
Nigeria’s defence policy was first formulated in 2006 and revised ten years after in 2017 [1]. Nigeria’s first-ever National Security Strategy was first formulated…
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Public consultations Score: 0 / 100
The Nigerian National Defence Policy (NNDP) comprises the philosophy and objectives of the country’s defence policy [1]. In September 2021, the Ministry of Defence…
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Transparency Score: 25 / 100
The two critical national guidance documents in this regard are Nigerian National Defence Policy (2017) and National Security Strategy (2019). While hardcopies of the…
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4 33/100

Do defence and security institutions have a policy, or evidence, of openness towards civil society organisations (CSOs) when dealing with issues of corruption?

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Policy of openness Score: 0 / 100
There is no formal or informal policy that requires openness towards civil society organisations (CSOs) in the defence sector. The few CSOs that focus…
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CSO protections Score: 25 / 100
Civil Society Organizations (CSOs) in Nigeria operate within a complex policy, regulatory, and legislative framework that the government or party in power rely on…
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Practice of openness Score: 75 / 100
Defence and security institutions are engaging with a range of Civil Society Organizations (CSOs) on defence and security issues. The Friedrich Ebert Stiftung (FES)…
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5 63/100

Has the country signed up to the following international anti-corruption instruments: UNCAC and the OECD Convention?

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Signatory and Ratification status Score: 100 / 100
Nigeria signed and ratified the UNCAC on December 9, 2003, and October 24, 2004, respectively, but it only became operational in 2005 [1]. Nigeria…
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Compliance Score: 25 / 100
Nigeria, a State Party to the UNCAC, signed the treaty on the 9th of December 2003, and ratified it on the 24th of October…
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6 50/100

Is there evidence of regular, active public debate on issues of defence? If yes, does the government participate in this debate?

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Public debate Score: 50 / 100
The outbreak and persistence of violent security threats that endanger Nigeria’s defence and security and the nature of responses by the Nigerian state have…
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Government engagement in public discourse Score: 50 / 100
The government engages in discussion with the public about defence issues through open forums, an active website, or at media briefings, although these engagements…
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7 38/100

Does the country have an openly stated and effectively implemented anti-corruption policy for the defence sector?

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Anti-corruption policy Score: 50 / 100
Nigeria has a revised National Anti-Corruption Strategy – NACS (2022-2026). The NACS established a committee comprising all ACAs, relevant MDAs, government and private sector…
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Effective implementation Score: 25 / 100
Nigeria National Anti-Corruption Strategy – NACS (2022-2026) provides a government-wide anti-corruption posture that should apply to Ministries Departments and Agencies (MDAs). The NACS established…
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8 83/100

Are there independent, well-resourced, and effective institutions within defence and security tasked with building integrity and countering corruption?

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Mandate and resources Score: 75 / 100
There are identifiable compliance and ethics units within defence and security that are mandated to handle integrity and corruption in defence, but there are…
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Independence Score: 75 / 100
In 2003, the Federal government considered and approved the request of the Independent Corrupt Practices and Other Related Offences Commission (ICPC) to establish the…
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Effectiveness Score: 100 / 100
The Anti-Corruption and Transparency Units (ACTUs) is the institutions tasked with building integrity and countering corruption within the Ministry of Defence [1]. The ACTU…
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9 NS/100

Does the public trust the institutions of defence and security to tackle the issue of bribery and corruption in their establishments?

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Score: NS / 100
Nigeria has witnessed unprecedented deterioration of internal security in the last two decades. There is a widely held view that corruption within the defence…
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10 0/100

Are there regular assessments of the areas of greatest corruption risk for ministry and armed forces personnel, and are the findings used as inputs to the anti-corruption policy?

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Risk assessments Score: 0 / 100
Nigeria National Anti-Corruption Strategy – NACS (2022-2026) provides a government-wide anti-corruption posture that should apply to Ministries Departments and Agencies (MDAs). It provides that…
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Regularity Score: NA / 100
Risk assessments are not considered by the ACTU, therefore, this indciator is scored Not Applicable.[1]
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Inputs to anti-corruption policy Score: NA / 100
Risk assessments are not considered by the ACTU, therefore, this indciator is scored Not Applicable.[1]
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11 25/100

Does the country have a process for acquisition planning that involves clear oversight, and is it publicly available?

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Acquisition planning process Score: 25 / 100
Nigeria has a process for acquisition planning, which is basically governed by the Public Procurement Act (PPA) of 2007 [1]. The PPA 2007 aims…
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Transparency Score: 25 / 100
Regarding acquisition planning, the Nigerian public has very limited access to information about the process itself, because a great deal of information is excluded…
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External oversight Score: 25 / 100
The Parliament through its Senate and House of Representatives’ Committees on Defence undertake oversight of the activities of the Ministry, Departments and Agencies within…
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12 75/100

Is the defence budget transparent, showing key items of expenditure? And it is provided to the legislature in a timely fashion?

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Comprehensiveness Score: 75 / 100
While Nigeria does publish its defence budget and provides it to the National Assembly (NASS). The NASS reviews and debates the budget, including the…
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Timeliness Score: 75 / 100
The Nigerian budget process involves the submission of the budget proposal by the executive branch to the National Assembly (NASS). Budgets need to be…
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13 75/100

Is there a legislative committee (or other appropriate body) responsible for defence budget scrutiny and analysis in an effective way?

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Formal rights Score: 100 / 100
The National Assembly (NASS) has established standing committees in both houses of the Senate and House of Representatives to ensure parliamentary oversight of the…
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Influence on decision-making Score: 50 / 100
The National Assembly of Nigeria is empowered to scrutinize various aspects of the performance of the Ministry of Defence and its agencies, including budgets,…
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14 33/100

Is the approved defence budget made publicly available? In practice, can citizens, civil society, and the media obtain detailed information on the defence budget?

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Proactive publication Score: 25 / 100
Nigeria does publish its defence budget as passed by the National Assembly (NASS). While the budget documents are publicly accessible, the approved defence budget…
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Comprehensiveness Score: 50 / 100
Nigeria’s approved national budget—including the defence allocation—is publicly available through platforms such as Budgetpedia.ng and the Budget Office of the Federation, which provides substantial…
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Response to information requests Score: 25 / 100
Nigeria does publish its budget which also contains allocations to the security and defence sector. However, obtaining information on some of the aspects of…
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15 17/100

Are sources of defence income other than from central government allocation (from equipment sales or property disposal, for example) published and scrutinised?

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Transparency Score: 0 / 100
The defence sector is not primarily a revenue-generating institution in Nigeria, but the Nigerian military has struggled over the years to develop a robust…
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Institutional scrutiny Score: 50 / 100
Beyond central budget allocations, the Nigerian military generates revenue through quasi-commercial activities, such as rental of military infrastructure (e.g., the Nigerian Army Jetty in…
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Public scrutiny Score: 0 / 100
Defence and security institutions in Nigeria invest on several revenue-generating commercial interests especially in real estate, hospitality, health centres, and education [1]. Despite the…
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16 25/100

Is there an effective internal audit process for defence ministry expenditure (that is, for example, transparent, conducted by appropriately skilled individuals, and subject to parliamentary oversight)?

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Activity Score: 25 / 100
The Directorate of Finance and Administration is responsible for internal audits at the Ministry of Defence. Audits cover records of revenues and expenditure, cash…
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Enabling oversight Score: 50 / 100
Concerning the internal audit process, the Ministry of Defence has an Internal Audit Department with the responsibility of inspecting and monitoring the use of…
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External scrutiny Score: 25 / 100
The auditor general’s report is in most instances released late. For example, the auditor general’s report for 2020 was submitted to the National Assembly…
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Institutional outcomes Score: 0 / 100
External audits conducted by the Office of the Auditor-General for the Federation (OAuGF) are submitted to the Public Accounts Committee (PAC). While these reports…
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17 25/100

Is there effective and transparent external auditing of military defence expenditure?

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Activity Score: 25 / 100
The Nigerian constitution grants the Auditor-General of the Federation (OAuGF) the mandate to audit public accounts, ministries, departments, agencies, and commissions [1]. This includes…
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Independence Score: 25 / 100
External audits of the MoD are performed by the Office of the Auditor-General for the Federation, which submits its reports directly to the Public…
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Transparency Score: 50 / 100
External auditing of MDAs is not conducted in a timely and regular manner. Although the eventual reports are published online, they are not made…
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Institutional outcomes Score: 0 / 100
When audit reports are not completed timely and made publicly available, performance monitoring is encumbered and implementation of suggested changes hindered. With this practice,…
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18 35/100

Is there evidence that the country’s defence institutions have controlling or financial interests in businesses associated with the country’s natural resource exploitation and, if so, are these interests publicly stated and subject to scrutiny?

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Legal framework Score: 100 / 100
Section 16(3) of the 1999 Constitution mandates a national body to review ownership and control of enterprises, including those tied to natural resources, and report…
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Defence institutions: Financial or controlling interests in practice Score: 0 / 100
Defence institutions involvement in businesses relating to the country’s natural resource exploitation is widespread and mostly illicit. The nation’s defence and security forces have…
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Individual defence personnel: Financial or controlling interests in practice Score: 50 / 100
Illicit transactions on crude oil, fishing in the waters of Lake Chad, and illegal mining of gold are the common areas with major revenue…
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Transparency Score: 0 / 100
The legal and regulatory framework does not make it possible for military officials or institutions to have a direct interest in the extractive sector.…
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Scrutiny Score: 25 / 100
When allegations of the involvement of miliary officers in businesses associated with the country’s natural resource are reported, these interests are often subjected to…
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19 25/100

Is there evidence, for example through media investigations or prosecution reports, of a penetration of organised crime into the defence and security sector? If no, is there evidence that the government is alert and prepared for this risk?

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Penetration of organised crime Score: 0 / 100
There are some media reports indicating a degree of connivance, complicity and collusion of defence and security personnel in organised crime. For instance, a…
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Government response Score: 50 / 100
The government is aware of the complicity of some military men with organised crime groups, and it is taking some action to curb the…
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20 42/100

Is there policing to investigate corruption and organised crime within the defence services and is there evidence of the effectiveness of this policing?

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Existence of policing function Score: 100 / 100
There are systems and structures in place to deal with the infiltration of organised crime and corruption within the defence and security sector. Within…
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Independence Score: 0 / 100
These policing functions are subject to considerable and regular undue influence from top military officials or the executive. In August 2019. Mr Hamisu Bala,…
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Effectiveness Score: 25 / 100
In some instances, cases are investigated or prosecuted through formal processes. However, undue political influence is attempted which sometimes could prove effective at derailing…
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21 25/100

Are the policies, administration, and budgets of the intelligence services subject to effective and independent oversight?

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Independence Score: 25 / 100
The intelligence services are subject to effective oversight through the Senate and House Committees on National Security and Intelligence [1]. They are mandated to…
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Effectiveness Score: 25 / 100
Intelligence agencies by design are secretive in nature and tasked with gathering information to bolster national security. Given this, their operations are including resources…
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22 17/100

Are senior positions within the intelligence services filled on the basis of objective selection criteria, and are appointees subject to investigation of their suitability and prior conduct?

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Objective selection criteria Score: 0 / 100
Recruitment and promotion in Nigeria’s public service are in principle guided by the Federal character principle. Federal Character Commission (FCC) has the responsibility of…
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Selection bias Score: 0 / 100
Although the National Assembly has a residual power to vet and confirm appointments, this does not constitute effective checks and balances on the exercise…
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Vetting process Score: 50 / 100
Security vetting in Nigeria is formally conducted by agencies such as the State Security Service (SSS) and the Department of State Services (DSS), intended…
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23 75/100

Does the government have a well-scrutinised process for arms export decisions that aligns with Articles 7.1.iv, 11.5, and 15.6 of the Arms Trade Treaty (ATT)?

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Signatory and Ratification Score: 100 / 100
Nigeria signed and ratified the Arms Trade Treaty (ATT) on August 12, 2013 [1]. In 2016, Nigeria’s Ministry of Defence stated that “Nigeria believes…
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Compliance Score: 50 / 100
Although Nigeria signed and ratified the ATT in August 2013, it has not fully succeeded in domesticating it [1]. As noted by a military…
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Parliamentary scrutiny Score: NA / 100
Nigeria is primarily an importer and not an exporter of arms [1]. Nigeria imported $17.6M in military weapons in 2022, becoming the 24th largest…
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76 0/100

Does the country regulate lobbying of defence institutions?

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Legal framework Score: 0 / 100
Nigeria has no framework for regulating lobbying activity. Given that some firms have emerged in recent times to engaging in lobbying activities, public analysts…
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Disclosure: Public officials Score: NA / 100
Nigeria has no framework for regulating lobbying activity. Therefore, this indicator has been marked Not Applicable. [1]
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Lobbyist registration system Score: NA / 100
Nigeria has no framework for regulating lobbying activity. Therefore, this indicator has been marked Not Applicable. [1]
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Oversight & enforcement Score: NA / 100
Nigeria has no framework for regulating lobbying activity. Therefore, this indicator has been marked Not Applicable. [1]
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Defence and Security Policy and Policy Transparency

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Q1 NA/100

Is there formal provision for effective and independent legislative scrutiny of defence policy?

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Q2 NA/100

Does the country have an identifiable and effective parliamentary defence and security committee (or similar such organisations) to exercise oversight?

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Q3 NA/100

Is the country’s national defence policy or national security strategy debated and publicly available?

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Q4 NA/100

Do defence and security institutions have a policy, or evidence, of openness towards civil society organisations (CSOs) when dealing with issues of corruption?

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Q5 NA/100

Has the country signed up to the following international anti-corruption instruments: UNCAC and the OECD Convention?

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Q6 NA/100

Is there evidence of regular, active public debate on issues of defence? If yes, does the government participate in this debate?

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Q7 NA/100

Does the country have an openly stated and effectively implemented anti-corruption policy for the defence sector?

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Q8 NA/100

Are there independent, well-resourced, and effective institutions within defence and security tasked with building integrity and countering corruption?

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Q9 NA/100

Does the public trust the institutions of defence and security to tackle the issue of bribery and corruption in their establishments?

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Q10 NA/100

Are there regular assessments of the areas of greatest corruption risk for ministry and armed forces personnel, and are the findings used as inputs to the anti-corruption policy?

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Defence Budgets

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Q11 NA/100

Does the country have a process for acquisition planning that involves clear oversight, and is it publicly available?

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Q12 NA/100

Is the defence budget transparent, showing key items of expenditure? And it is provided to the legislature in a timely fashion?

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Q13 NA/100

Is there a legislative committee (or other appropriate body) responsible for defence budget scrutiny and analysis in an effective way?

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Q14 NA/100

Is the approved defence budget made publicly available? In practice, can citizens, civil society, and the media obtain detailed information on the defence budget?

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Q15 NA/100

Are sources of defence income other than from central government allocation (from equipment sales or property disposal, for example) published and scrutinised?

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Q16 NA/100

Is there an effective internal audit process for defence ministry expenditure (that is, for example, transparent, conducted by appropriately skilled individuals, and subject to parliamentary oversight)?

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Q17 NA/100

Is there effective and transparent external auditing of military defence expenditure?

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Nexus of Defence and National Assets

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Q18 NA/100

Is there evidence that the country’s defence institutions have controlling or financial interests in businesses associated with the country’s natural resource exploitation and, if so, are these interests publicly stated and subject to scrutiny?

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Organised Crime

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Q19 NA/100

Is there evidence, for example through media investigations or prosecution reports, of a penetration of organised crime into the defence and security sector? If no, is there evidence that the government is alert and prepared for this risk?

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Q20 NA/100

Is there policing to investigate corruption and organised crime within the defence services and is there evidence of the effectiveness of this policing?

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Control of Intelligence Services

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Q21 NA/100

Are the policies, administration, and budgets of the intelligence services subject to effective and independent oversight?

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Q22 NA/100

Are senior positions within the intelligence services filled on the basis of objective selection criteria, and are appointees subject to investigation of their suitability and prior conduct?

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Export Controls

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Q23 NA/100

Does the government have a well-scrutinised process for arms export decisions that aligns with Articles 7.1.iv, 11.5, and 15.6 of the Arms Trade Treaty (ATT)?

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Lobbying in Defence

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Q76 NA/100

Does the country regulate lobbying of defence institutions?

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